Thursday, May 2, 2019

NIFTY......

[2:29 PM, 4/26/2019] Jiten Patel: Nifty EPS earnings probably from next quarter  will  start improving and will go upwards......
Actual Nifty EPS earnings for FY 2019/20 Should be between 475......500.…...

But as per  long time averages.... Nifty EPS earnings  should be @520.....

But currently still the nifty EPS earnings Spring is pressed from last 4/5 years and from next quarter onwards these spring should  release and the actual earnings from next quarter onwards probably should start going up......
[2:41 PM, 4/26/2019] Jiten Patel: Correction:

Read.....

But as per  long time averages.... Nifty EPS earnings  should be @620.....
[2:45 PM, 4/26/2019] Jiten Patel: As per my calculation for FY 2019/20.......

620EPS **21.75PE==13400......

It is my personal opinion and view only......
[2:57 PM, 4/26/2019] Jiten Patel: Personally for me if at the time of Election result...... Nifty corrects and goes to 11200 it will be a Buying opportunity and a bonanza for me to Buy stocks at lower prices......
Because as per my above analysis earnings will go up and so will nifty levels in  FY 19/20......
[3:36 PM, 4/26/2019] Jiten Patel: At current Nifty levels psychologically the investors are away from the stock market because of fear of Election result and zero conviction about the economic state of affairs currently prevailing......

So what logic and sense does it make to be invested when there is doubt and uncertainty because of election results and economy is in disarray situation......

Yes the present thinking what everyone is doing currently is totally correct and I agree with it.....

But  are we doing rational thinking.....no..... because right we we have come under the influence of  Recency Bias and our thinking is distorted because of current scenario.....
What is required here from the investors is to look at the bigger picture.....

Where is Euphoria.....
Where investors have gone mad to buy Penny stocks and subscribe IPOs ....
Is money cheaply available in the market...... value of money has gone down.....
Is inflation at sky rocket levels....
Interest rate prices are still at lower levels.....
Etc.......
[6:33 PM, 4/26/2019] Jiten Patel: Investing | Our habits, as much as our brains, drive investment decisions
Even though habits account for 40 percent of the decisions that we make, the “thinking” part of the brain does not control our habits. Understanding the auto-reflex element of habit-driven decision making is central to nailing down why some promoters consistently allocate capital better than others.
http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/investing-our-habits-as-much-as-our-brains-drive-investment-decisions-3895241.html

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