Tuesday, December 17, 2019

[4:26 PM, 12/16/2019] Jiten Patel: Heromoto corp
Sun Tv
Bajaj Consumer corp
The above are good long term investments. Buying in staggered manner with being ready to buy more if they fall few percentages can help in long term returns.....
The above STOCKS might underperform the current Bull Market as compared to other STOCKS but the long term returns in this mentioned STOCKS should not disappoint the Investors because the Risk/Value Ratio  will be more tilted towards Value INVESTING.....


IT is my personal opinion and view only and not a recommendation to buy or sell and I reserved to be proved otherwise also.....
[11:04 PM, 12/16/2019] Jiten Patel: With Every New Human Life comes the Birth Certificate but  along with it also comes the Death Certificate.....
The same way in Every Bull Market it carries along with it the path to Bear Market.....
It is a Loop a Circle and neither  can survive without each other.....
So to complete the Loop the Circle both are necessary......
[11:28 PM, 12/16/2019] Jiten Patel: During the Bull Market and at Euphoric Market Top are Mind will be more absorb and busy in making Easy Money day in and day out but it is during this time we humans forget that the path of Destruction ie the Bear market is following us like a Dark Shadow not to be seen and felt.....but it is continuously like a Shadow following the Bull Market......

NIFty once before March 2020 should touch 12600
NIFty once before March 2021 should touch 14600
NIFty once before March 2022 should touch 17200
NIFty once before March 2023 should touch 19600 and in final year 2023/24 Nifty can go above 19600 also.......

This are all predictions and one can go wrong horribly......
IT is not a recommendation to buy or sell and I reserved to be proved otherwise also.....
Please consult your Financial Advisor before taking any financial decisions.......

[11:09 PM, 12/17/2019] Jiten Patel: Why do we Book Profits very Early and Let the Losses Run to Infinity....

Well the explanation runs to millions of years ago.....
When we were living in the Savannah Jungle and being hunted by wild animals the most important thing for our being was Survival....
Well survival was necessary to pass our genes to the next generation.....but for survival food..... shelter and water were the most important thing.....
Well when living in the Savannah Jungle these were rare commodities and very difficult to find and basically our race were scavengers and survived on food killed by other animals.....so whatever was available had to be eaten immediately and drank immediately.... the game was all about Instant Gratification......I mean Now or Never..... because to find food water and shelter in the jungle were very difficult and whatever our Race found had to be eaten and drank instantly......also food was not readily available like in today's world.....we had no weapons or had no strategy or had no idea how to kill an animal and eat..... because we started the concept of farming and agriculture just 5000 years back.....
Due to this struggle of millions of years we develop the habits and behaviours of Instant Gratification..... and this instant Gratification habits and behaviours got ingrained in our Genes and so in our brain..... and this reflexive functions were controlled by the Limbic Part of our Brain..... like in Animals....  if you have noticed that Animals behave in the same manner today also.... what we used to do through out our Evolutionary Life......
If you notice that the fear of losing the food to other animals and getting killed was so great in the Savannah Jungle that it made correct sense of practising Instant Gratification.....

We never had the opportunity to learn about Delayed Gratification whose functions are controlled by the most recent human part of the Brain.... Pre Frontal cortex......

So presently also for most of the things if you have noticed majority of our decisions are based on Instant Gratification...... now or never.....kaal kisnae dekha hae ....aaj kii baat kar.....am I right......
Now this Evolutionary gift of instant Gratification which was very important for our survival and helped us to navigate through millions of years has become a Bane in today's complex world where survival for need of food and water and shelter is not important.....

Stock market Relationship......
The topic i have chosen today of why we book profits earlier and let losses run to infinity is all because of this Evolutionary gift of Instant Gratification......
The other word for the topic is also called Disposition Effect.....
To book immediate profits and fear of losing that profits forces us to Sell the winners because of this Evolutionary genes ingrained in us......
[11:17 PM, 12/17/2019] Jiten Patel: This article is a killer

Nifty after touching @12600 should correct to @11600 and from @11600 it should move upwards towards @14600...... before March 2020......
If it happens that Superb......

IT is my personal opinion and view only and not a recommendation to buy or sell and I reserved to be proved otherwise also......

No comments:

Post a Comment