I am still of the opinion if you see the BIGGER PICTURE time frame..... Nifty will reach 13500 by 2020 March/April and then a big fall of 25% which will take the Nifty back to 10100 levels ......
But the smaller picture time frame nifty can do anything.....
It is my personal opinion and view only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.....I reserved to be proved otherwise also in my opinion and view......
The less the participation in the market the more it tends to go up...... that is the general psychology.....where is the optimism.....where is the rush to buy stocks before my neighbour buys and becomes rich......where is the FOMO phenomenon......the only thing which is visible today is frustration..... uncertainty.... boring market.....fear of doubts......
So if one believes in psychology and operates in the market as per psychology then it is a good investment to buy for long term if nifty again goes to 11600 or lower for a brighter future......in coming 3/4 years time frame......
Still bigger pain in Midcap and Smallcap is left in 2020..... and that will be the end of Midcap and Smallcap stocks correction...... and thereafter a new beginning will start to Riches.....but wait for 2020 downfall......
[11:11 PM, 7/5/2019] Jiten Patel: Sun Pharma made a high of @1200 in 2015...... All THESE years its actual growth rate was way way above its long term growth rate......and because it's Actual growth rate from last 6/8 years was so high so market gave sun Pharma a premium through all these 6/8 years.....but now it has come down to its more realistic average long term growth rate and so the price have also come down...... market gave a PE of almost like 45PE at one given point of time.....on that superlative high growth..... now see what has happened.....it is going down and down.......but now it is coming to its more realistic price.......Sale...... Sale.....but poor Investors will not understand this because they are being advertised and sold the stories of growth stocks.....but not advertise the definition of Risk Reward ratio......why are they not explaining you all these what I am writing......they never will..... because they want fancy hot growth stocks to talk about......but not the boring stocks which will be available cheap....but will be boring to hold for 10/11 years.......
[11:29 PM, 7/5/2019] Jiten Patel: Will write the same on Castrol and Heromoto corp.....
[11:38 PM, 7/5/2019] Jiten Patel: I am writing here only for one reason......the books that I have read......in most of the books it was written that one should share knowledge and proper knowledge which might help people...... because out here you are playing with your hard earned money which Investors just throw away in Speculating..... Buying on Tips..... Buying at Superlative high price without understanding what is the price they are paying and what value they will get in return..... Investors in market invest in a example I am giving below.....
Cabbage vegetable......will you pay 500 rupees for 1 kg.....yes you will because someone gave you a tip......aare bhai it will shoot up to 1000 rupees and the growth story of cabbage is very good.....I am telling you Naa......aare buy it......yes this is how Investors buy stocks in market......they don't even realise what are they paying and what value are they getting.....
This is the chart of Rushil Decor..... from #27/- in 2013 it went to 1100/- in 2017....... just in 3 years......I don't know why....... today it is at @300.... maybe it might go back to the same price it STARTED it's RALLY from @27/-.......
By the way I again must have seen 200..... Random charts of Midcap and Smallcap companies......98% of the charts were down and scream on top of their voice that we are and still will keep going down.....
I could have sent you 100 charts like these.....but what I pity is so much wealth destruction has taken place for idiot Investors who participated in such type of stocks thinking they will make easy and quick money.....
Am sending just to make Investors aware that you will and definitely going to fall prey again to such games of Stock Operators in the future also because your brain has emotions of Greed which will again take you back to your same old thoughts and feelings once these same market in Euphoric in nature.....no one will escape from the greed which is gifted to us by Evolution..... however you might try to resist it......it will be waste of effort and will be futile.......
But you can only save yourself is by changing your mindset.....
But the smaller picture time frame nifty can do anything.....
It is my personal opinion and view only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.....I reserved to be proved otherwise also in my opinion and view......
The less the participation in the market the more it tends to go up...... that is the general psychology.....where is the optimism.....where is the rush to buy stocks before my neighbour buys and becomes rich......where is the FOMO phenomenon......the only thing which is visible today is frustration..... uncertainty.... boring market.....fear of doubts......
So if one believes in psychology and operates in the market as per psychology then it is a good investment to buy for long term if nifty again goes to 11600 or lower for a brighter future......in coming 3/4 years time frame......
Still bigger pain in Midcap and Smallcap is left in 2020..... and that will be the end of Midcap and Smallcap stocks correction...... and thereafter a new beginning will start to Riches.....but wait for 2020 downfall......
[11:11 PM, 7/5/2019] Jiten Patel: Sun Pharma made a high of @1200 in 2015...... All THESE years its actual growth rate was way way above its long term growth rate......and because it's Actual growth rate from last 6/8 years was so high so market gave sun Pharma a premium through all these 6/8 years.....but now it has come down to its more realistic average long term growth rate and so the price have also come down...... market gave a PE of almost like 45PE at one given point of time.....on that superlative high growth..... now see what has happened.....it is going down and down.......but now it is coming to its more realistic price.......Sale...... Sale.....but poor Investors will not understand this because they are being advertised and sold the stories of growth stocks.....but not advertise the definition of Risk Reward ratio......why are they not explaining you all these what I am writing......they never will..... because they want fancy hot growth stocks to talk about......but not the boring stocks which will be available cheap....but will be boring to hold for 10/11 years.......
[11:29 PM, 7/5/2019] Jiten Patel: Will write the same on Castrol and Heromoto corp.....
[11:38 PM, 7/5/2019] Jiten Patel: I am writing here only for one reason......the books that I have read......in most of the books it was written that one should share knowledge and proper knowledge which might help people...... because out here you are playing with your hard earned money which Investors just throw away in Speculating..... Buying on Tips..... Buying at Superlative high price without understanding what is the price they are paying and what value they will get in return..... Investors in market invest in a example I am giving below.....
Cabbage vegetable......will you pay 500 rupees for 1 kg.....yes you will because someone gave you a tip......aare bhai it will shoot up to 1000 rupees and the growth story of cabbage is very good.....I am telling you Naa......aare buy it......yes this is how Investors buy stocks in market......they don't even realise what are they paying and what value are they getting.....
This is the chart of Rushil Decor..... from #27/- in 2013 it went to 1100/- in 2017....... just in 3 years......I don't know why....... today it is at @300.... maybe it might go back to the same price it STARTED it's RALLY from @27/-.......
By the way I again must have seen 200..... Random charts of Midcap and Smallcap companies......98% of the charts were down and scream on top of their voice that we are and still will keep going down.....
I could have sent you 100 charts like these.....but what I pity is so much wealth destruction has taken place for idiot Investors who participated in such type of stocks thinking they will make easy and quick money.....
Am sending just to make Investors aware that you will and definitely going to fall prey again to such games of Stock Operators in the future also because your brain has emotions of Greed which will again take you back to your same old thoughts and feelings once these same market in Euphoric in nature.....no one will escape from the greed which is gifted to us by Evolution..... however you might try to resist it......it will be waste of effort and will be futile.......
But you can only save yourself is by changing your mindset.....
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